So the global total GDP this year is estimated to be $100trillion. Anthropic expects it’s revenue to eventually be equivalent to 30% of global GDP? US GDP is expected to be $32trillion this year. Antrhopic expects it’s revenue to be eventually be equivalent to 94% of US GDP?
And we’re supposed to believe we’re not in a bubble?
Woah woah woah! You need to factor in that spaceX said it’s looking at $28T
I feel we’re watch a game of bullshitters.
SpaceX expects 26T. OpenAI didn’t say but if you ask Sam he’ll make up a number for you for the last third of world GDP.
Their argument is that AI will make everybody so productive that world GDP will grow massively. Not that there really is any evidence for that, but hallucinating things is now a business plan.
Total addressable market is the amount of revenue they think is available to all AI providers, combined. So it makes sense that this is in the same ballpark as SpaceX’s “enterprise services” estimate.
And yes they believe 25% of the economy can be automated with AI. Which is a big downgrade from 100%
he global total GDP this year is estimated to be $100trillion.
So you are saying they set the number too low? 🤣🤣🤣
is this revenue in the room with us right now?
Meanwhile their ACTUAL revenue is a mere $5-10 billion.
And it’s kinda sorta pretend revenue from VCs and circular funding deals.
I don’t believe that for a second. Tokens are legit made up bullshit. Unless Nvidia is investing $4.9-9.9 billion, that math ain’t mathing.
Yes, but if you sum up those 10 billions for the next billion years of stable growth they’ll definitely eventually accrue that trillion figure.
why make trillions when we could make… billions? - Microsoft
Economics has basically come down to “make ridiculous claims and as long as you claim it, mi ey will flow”
I don’t get it, that’s less than the global GDP, why is there parts of the global GDP they don’t consider accessible?
Or in other words, If they really go on to claim that, they are claiming that more than a quarter of the world GDP is accessible market to them!This is insane, and has no basis in any kind of possible reality no matter how optimistically viewed.
Why would any investor believe this?
A bout of hyperinflation is all that’s needed to make this prediction come true.
Haha. Are you fucking kidding me!?
Apparently they are even more insane than Elon Musk!
A whole group of people that no one needs lying to another group that no one needs while both destroy the earth
This is a scam to outsource their market analysis and generate publicity
I would love to see the logic behind that belief. It’s gonna be a good read. According to the first few results on the internet, the entier oil industry is, like, 4 Trillion per year (IEA says 3.5 Trillion in 2018). What the fuck is the slop bot supposed to do to make almost an entire US GDP of money?
Where is this money coming from? VC’s sure as hell don’t want their companies spending big. Billionairs obviously won’t spend money on anything other than buying elections. Normal people have no money to spend on AI. So … what is the revenue stream? Don’t tell me it’s ads.
Wall Street, where everything is possible…if you just fucking lie confidently.
You also never get punished if the lie is big enough.
The worst part is I don’t even think that they think they’re lying.
They’re so delusional that they 100% believe what they’re saying.
They are absolutely delusional enough to think that THEIR company will eventually reach AGI but I don’t think any truly believe these numbers.
There’s been no consequences for lying, only more profit. Look at the space X ipo…The market has shown they’ll pay whatever they’re told to so lie lie lie.
Lying gets you customers, investors, and government subsidies. And when your competitor lies, you just have to lie harder. The grift economy.
Even if they achieve AGI they can’t control it themselves, because that would be slavery.
I think some of them actually believe. Like on Blind where the tech bros think $100k/yr is poverty wage. They haven’t been living in reality in a long time. The tech boom has been going on since what like 2010. It’s far longer than the dotcom bubble. They keep managing to jump from one fad to the next. It’s far eclipsed prior bubbles.
Tbh 100k/yr is poverty wage in downtown San Francisco…
100k/year in San Francisco is definitely low income.
Official government figures using an exemplary family of four (two adults two children) already classified a household income of $117,400 as low income back in 2018. By 2025, that threshold has risen to $159,000.
San Francisco: Where a six-figure salary is ‘low income’ - https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44725026
Places Where a Six-Figure Salary is Considered ‘Low Income’ - https://internewscast.com/news/places-where-a-six-figure-salary-is-considered-low-income/
Your example there is household income. In that exemplary family that means each parent is making $60k in 2018, $80k today. Which paints a very different picture to the claim that “a six figure salary is considered low income”.
Case in point. The world doesn’t revolve around San Francisco. You guys are neurotically hyperfocused on your little world.
