Pennsylvania Democrats, including Gov. Josh Shapiro, are pointing to a stunning upset in a special election for a deep-red state House district as proof that the party has momentum while campaigning this fall for a trifecta in Harrisburg.
Butler County Democrat Brandon Dukes said his apparent victory over Republican Scott Timko, by fewer than 100 votes as of Wednesday afternoon, was thanks to his focus on local issues, such as a major corridor perennially under construction to the frustration of residents.
“We kept it local, we kept it practical, and we kept it common sense,” Dukes said in an interview.
The 12th Pennsylvania House District, just north of Pittsburgh, went for Donald Trump by more than 18 percentage points just two years ago and had been held by Republicans since 1999.
It’s really hard to predict because there’s not been such a case of the iran war being bungled so badly with no real planning, that is causing oil shortages but it really matters because COVID and the Ukraine war has really caused all the buffers in the supply system to be gone and supply is extremely tight. The straight could be closed for months and one good hurricane in the Gulf can put tons of refineries in texas out of order. Then you would see a real gas price surge.
But history shows the effect of the crisis on polls reduces very quickly.